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From Vinny Lingham’s Blog: Google To Boast Larger Market Capitalization than Microsoft in 2010

October 26th, 2006

From Vinny Lingham’s Blog: Google To Boast Larger Market Capitalization than Microsoft in 2010

posted by froosh
So I got your attention, now let’s see if I can keep it.At the time of this writing, Google had far surpassed Yahoo! in terms of market value ($130 billion to $30 billion) but still trailed Microsoft ($284 billion).  A tale of the tape suggests that MSFT merits the higher market cap: in 2005, MSFT generated net income of $12 billion off $39 billion in revenues; in 2006, it’s on pace to generate another $12 billion on increased revenues of $44 billion.  As the numbers suggest, Microsoft is so large that it finds growth harder to come by.  It is by no means a mature company in the utilities sense of the word, but indeed, some would say that MSFT has lost its way (click here for O Microsoft , Microsoft ! wherefore art thou Microsoft).

Google, on the other hand, is a much younger company and has been growing at a torrid pace:

Looking at its recent finances on the Google Investor page, you can see that revenue growth has fallen but remains impressive:

- 2002 revenues grew 409%
- 2003 revenues grew 234%
- 2004 revenues grew 118%
- 2005 revenues grew 92%
- 2006 look like they will be growing at least by 70%.

While Google is anything but mature, one can tell that its revenues are growing, but at a slower rate.  We can estimate that its 2007 revenues can grow by 50%, 2008 revenues can grow by 40%, and thereafter, the company’s revenues will grow at some 30% annual clip. 

For more, click here.

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